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Gambling Disorder as Variable-Ratio Wrong Attractor: Near-Miss Engineering, Dopaminergic Hijack, and the Basin Geometry of Intermittent Reward

Rincón, D. · 2026 · Zenodo · variable-ratio wrong attractor

This is the record, not the paper. The work itself is the deposit on Zenodo, under the DOI below. What follows is its abstract, as deposited.

We apply the Displacement Framework to gambling disorder, formalizing it as a wrong attractor W_gamble maintained by the variable-ratio reinforcement schedule — the most potent schedule of behavioral conditioning known to produce extinction-resistant responding. The financial security ground state S°_security is defined as the configuration of stable resources, predictable income, and freedom from acute financial threat.

Gambling disorder involves repeated D(ξ) through financial losses, relationship damage, and cognitive distortion, while the wrong attractor deepens through progressive neuroadaptation of the dopaminergic prediction-error system. Nine formal propositions are derived covering: the variable-ratio schedule as the structural source of W_gamble's exceptional basin depth (near-miss engineering, variable jackpot size, illusion of control, loss chasing as displacement from loss), the near-miss as neurobiologically equivalent to a win in dopaminergic terms (the exploitation of prediction-error circuitry), the gambler's fallacy as cognitive wrong attractor (hot-hand and cold-hand reasoning both serving continued play), pre-commitment as basin-modification intervention (limiting accessibility before craving emerges), the DSM-5 nine criteria formalized as displacement cascade stages, comorbidity as basin coupling (depression, substance use disorders, and gambling disorder as co-reinforcing wrong attractors), gambling industry design as deliberate landscape engineering (near-miss ratios, credit accessibility, environmental cue saturation), financial ruin as displacement amplifier creating additional incentive for continued play, and behavioral activation without gambling as the most effective return-path intervention.

The paper distinguishes recreational gambling (episodic D(ξ) without basin formation) from disordered gambling (deep W_gamble with progressive return-path blockade).

gambling disorder · displacement framework · variable ratio reinforcement · near-miss · dopamine · wrong attractor · intermittent reward · behavioral addiction

Read the deposit on Zenodo →doi 10.5281/zenodo.20411890

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